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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ammanford AFC v Aberystwyth Town: numbers & prediction

FAW Championship · Wales · Ammanford Recreation Ground
Ammanford AFC 38%Draw 25%Aberystwyth Town 37% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.36
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Aberystwyth Town to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAmmanford AFC to win ✓38% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 13.23

Ammanford AFC vs Aberystwyth Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ammanford AFC welcome Aberystwyth Town to Ammanford Recreation Ground for a FAW Championship fixture on Tuesday 24 February (20:30 WAT).

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ammanford AFC 1.2 xG, Aberystwyth Town 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ammanford AFC 38%, draw 25%, Aberystwyth Town 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Aberystwyth Town to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ammanford AFC 1–1 Aberystwyth Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ammanford AFC38%fair 2.65 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.10
Aberystwyth Town37%fair 2.72 · @3.20
2.56Expected goals
1.20Ammanford AFC xG
1.36Aberystwyth Town xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Ammanford AFC 1.2 – 1.4 Aberystwyth Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ammanford AFCAberystwyth Town
Attack vs FAW Championship average-2%+17%
Goals conceded vs average-16%-34%
Our expected goals here1.161.64

Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAmmanford AFC to win ✓38%2.652.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.771.75
Draw no betAmmanford AFC (draw no bet) ✓51%1.97–
Asian handicapAmmanford AFC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.89–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreAberystwyth Town to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aberystwyth Town / FT Aberystwyth Town ✗24%4.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%13.23–

Recent results

Ammanford AFC – last 1

D
13 Febvs Trethomas Bluebirds0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Aberystwyth Town

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ammanford AFC and Aberystwyth Town.

Ammanford AFC vs Aberystwyth Town head-to-head page →

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pontypridd Town13832+1327
2Aberystwyth Town11812+1825
3Swansea University11731+1924
4Caerau (Ely)13715+122
5Baglan Dragons13625020
6Ynyshir Albions11542+719
7Afan Lido14536-218
8Trethomas Bluebirds13454+317
9Treowen Stars12525-117
10Carmarthen Town13436-615
11Pontardawe Town11425-114
12Caerphilly Athletic13427-714
13Newport City11344+413
14Cardiff Draconians11335-512
15Llantwit Major12336-1212
16llanelli AFC140311-313

More FAW Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ammanford AFC vs Aberystwyth Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Ammanford AFC vs Aberystwyth Town?

On our numbers Ammanford AFC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aberystwyth Town 37%.

How many goals will there be in Ammanford AFC vs Aberystwyth Town?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ammanford AFC vs Aberystwyth Town?

Our predicted score is Ammanford AFC 1–1 Aberystwyth Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Ammanford AFC vs Aberystwyth Town?

Ammanford AFC vs Aberystwyth Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Ammanford Recreation Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.