Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Caersws to win @ 2.05 – our chance 57% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCaersws to win ✗57% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Caersws vs Penrhyncoch: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 6 April the FAW Championship brings Caersws against Penrhyncoch at The Recreation Ground. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Caersws are 6th, upper half, on 23 points after 13 matches; Penrhyncoch are 16th (in the drop zone) with 1. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caersws 2.4 xG, Penrhyncoch 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caersws 57%, draw 19%, Penrhyncoch 24%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Caersws to win @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caersws 2–1 Penrhyncoch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caersws57%fair 1.75 · @2.05
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.30
Penrhyncoch24%fair 4.22 · @2.90
3.49Expected goals
2.43Caersws xG
1.06Penrhyncoch xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Caersws 2.4 – 1.1 Penrhyncoch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Caersws
Penrhyncoch
Attack vs FAW Championship average
+12%
-53%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
+52%
Our expected goals here
3.07
0.70
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caersws to win✗
57%
1.75
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Draw no bet
Caersws (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Caersws -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Caersws to score first
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Caersws ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caersws / FT Caersws✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Caersws – last 1
W
3 Apr
@ Gresford Athletic
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Penrhyncoch – last 1
L
3 Apr
@ Denbigh Town
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caersws and Penrhyncoch.
What is the prediction for Caersws vs Penrhyncoch?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Caersws vs Penrhyncoch?
On our numbers Caersws have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Penrhyncoch 24%.
How many goals will there be in Caersws vs Penrhyncoch?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caersws vs Penrhyncoch?
Our predicted score is Caersws 2–1 Penrhyncoch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Caersws vs Penrhyncoch?
Caersws vs Penrhyncoch (FAW Championship) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at The Recreation Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Llandudno4