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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cwmbran Celtic v Trefelin: numbers & prediction

FAW Championship · Wales · The Avondale Motor Park Arena
1–8
FT
Cwmbran Celtic 10%Draw 16%Trefelin 74% Expected goals 1.08 – 2.62
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultTrefelin to win ✓74% · @1.11
Double chanceTrefelin or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.91

Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cwmbran Celtic welcome Trefelin to The Avondale Motor Park Arena for a FAW Championship fixture on Monday 30 March (19:30 WAT).

Current form

Cwmbran Celtic, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cambrian & Clydach, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.6 conceded per game.

Trefelin, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Pontypridd Town, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Trefelin, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.2 for Cwmbran Celtic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cwmbran Celtic 1.1 xG, Trefelin 2.6 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cwmbran Celtic 10%, draw 16%, Trefelin 74%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cwmbran Celtic 1–2 Trefelin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cwmbran Celtic10%fair 9.70 · @13.00
Draw16%fair 6.26 · @7.50
Trefelin74%fair 1.36 · @1.11
3.70Expected goals
1.08Cwmbran Celtic xG
2.62Trefelin xG
52%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–37%
1–17%
0–17%

From our goals model: Cwmbran Celtic 1.1 – 2.6 Trefelin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Cwmbran CelticTrefelin
Attack vs FAW Championship average-11%+28%
Goals conceded vs average+29%-14%
Our expected goals here1.382.76

Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTrefelin to win ✓74%1.361.11
Double chanceTrefelin or draw ✓90%1.111.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.94–
Draw no betTrefelin (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapTrefelin -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.98–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
First team to scoreTrefelin to score first69%1.45–
Half-time resultTrefelin ahead at half-time ✓53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Trefelin / FT Trefelin ✓48%2.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.91–

Recent results

Cwmbran Celtic – last 5

LDLLL
27 Marvs Cambrian & Clydach1–2L
24 Mar@ Baglan Dragons0–0D
17 Marvs Pontypridd Town2–5L
10 Marvs Llantwit Major1–3L
6 Marvs Ynyshir Albions1–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Trefelin – last 6

WLWWWW
27 Mar@ Pontypridd Town3–1W
17 Marvs Cambrian & Clydach0–4L
4 Marvs Cardiff Draconians3–1W
20 Febvs Ynyshir Albions2–0W
17 Febvs Baglan Dragons3–0W
13 Feb@ Carmarthen Town2–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cwmbran Celtic and Trefelin.

Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin?

On our numbers Cwmbran Celtic have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Trefelin 74%.

How many goals will there be in Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin?

Our predicted score is Cwmbran Celtic 1–2 Trefelin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin?

Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin (FAW Championship) kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at The Avondale Motor Park Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.