Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Friday 13 March: Buckley Town v Denbigh Town in the FAW Championship, played at Globe Way Stadium. In the table, Buckley Town are 9th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Denbigh Town are 12th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Denbigh Town, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Brickfield Rangers, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Buckley Town 2.1 xG, Denbigh Town 2.0 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 78% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Buckley Town 38%, draw 22%, Denbigh Town 40%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.35.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buckley Town 2–2 Denbigh Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Buckley Town38%fair 2.62 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.40
Denbigh Town40%fair 2.53 · @2.20
4.13Expected goals
2.09Buckley Town xG
2.05Denbigh Town xG
70%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
2–17%
1–27%
1–17%
3–25%
2–35%
From our goals model: Buckley Town 2.1 – 2.0 Denbigh Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Buckley Town
Denbigh Town
Attack vs FAW Championship average
+3%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
+19%
Our expected goals here
2.20
2.04
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Denbigh Town to win✓
40%
2.53
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Draw no bet
Denbigh Town (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Denbigh Town +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
First team to score
Buckley Town to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Buckley Town ahead at half-time✗
34%
2.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buckley Town / FT Buckley Town✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.27
–
Recent results
Buckley Town – last 1
L
20 Feb
vs Holywell
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Denbigh Town – last 3
LLL
6 Mar
vs Brickfield Rangers
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Holywell
1–5
L
20 Feb
@ Llandudno
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buckley Town and Denbigh Town.
What is the prediction for Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town?
On our numbers Buckley Town have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Denbigh Town 40%.
How many goals will there be in Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town?
Our predicted score is Buckley Town 2–2 Denbigh Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town?
Buckley Town vs Denbigh Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Globe Way Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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