Pontypridd Town 26%Draw 20%Trefelin 54%Expected goals 1.68 – 2.14
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultTrefelin to win ✓54% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Pontypridd Town vs Trefelin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pontypridd Town welcome Trefelin to USW Sports Park for a FAW Championship fixture on Friday 27 March (20:30 WAT).
Current form
Pontypridd Town, last 4: LWLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Trethomas Bluebirds, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Trefelin, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Cambrian & Clydach, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Trefelin, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.5 for Pontypridd Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pontypridd Town 1.7 xG, Trefelin 2.1 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pontypridd Town 26%, draw 20%, Trefelin 54%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pontypridd Town 1–2 Trefelin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pontypridd Town26%fair 3.80 · @4.20
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.20
Trefelin54%fair 1.85 · @1.55
3.82Expected goals
1.68Pontypridd Town xG
2.14Trefelin xG
67%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Pontypridd Town 1.7 – 2.1 Trefelin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pontypridd Town
Trefelin
Attack vs FAW Championship average
+36%
+28%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-14%
Our expected goals here
2.11
2.22
Our own ratings from every FAW Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trefelin to win✓
54%
1.85
1.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.65 ▲
Draw no bet
Trefelin (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Pontypridd Town +1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
First team to score
Trefelin to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Trefelin ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trefelin / FT Trefelin✓
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.85
–
Recent results
Pontypridd Town – last 4
LWLW
20 Mar
@ Trethomas Bluebirds
2–4
L
17 Mar
@ Cwmbran Celtic
5–2
W
6 Mar
vs Llantwit Major
0–4
L
21 Feb
vs Baglan Dragons
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Trefelin – last 5
LWWWW
17 Mar
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–4
L
4 Mar
vs Cardiff Draconians
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Ynyshir Albions
2–0
W
17 Feb
vs Baglan Dragons
3–0
W
13 Feb
@ Carmarthen Town
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pontypridd Town and Trefelin.
What is the prediction for Pontypridd Town vs Trefelin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs Trefelin?
On our numbers Pontypridd Town have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Trefelin 54%.
How many goals will there be in Pontypridd Town vs Trefelin?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pontypridd Town vs Trefelin?
Our predicted score is Pontypridd Town 1–2 Trefelin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Pontypridd Town vs Trefelin?
Pontypridd Town vs Trefelin (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at USW Sports Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cwmbran Celtic1
Cambrian & Clydach2
Rhyl3
Denbigh Town0