Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPodhale Nowy Targ to win ✗49% · @1.95
Double chancePodhale Nowy Targ or draw ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Podhale Nowy Targ welcome Olimpia Grudziądz to Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Pilsudskiego for a II Liga East fixture on Sunday 22 February (13:45 WAT). In the table, Podhale Nowy Targ are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Olimpia Grudziądz are 10th (lower half) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Podhale Nowy Targ 1.6 xG, Olimpia Grudziądz 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Podhale Nowy Targ 49%, draw 26%, Olimpia Grudziądz 26%.
Lower-risk option: Podhale Nowy Targ or draw (74%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Podhale Nowy Targ or draw (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1 Olimpia Grudziądz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Podhale Nowy Targ49%fair 2.05 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.00
Olimpia Grudziądz26%fair 3.90 · @3.50
2.76Expected goals
1.59Podhale Nowy Targ xG
1.17Olimpia Grudziądz xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Podhale Nowy Targ 1.6 – 1.2 Olimpia Grudziądz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Podhale Nowy Targ
Olimpia Grudziądz
Attack vs II Liga East average
+8%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.55
1.28
Our own ratings from every II Liga East result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Podhale Nowy Targ to win✗
49%
2.05
1.95
Double chance
Podhale Nowy Targ or draw✗
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Podhale Nowy Targ (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Olimpia Grudziądz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Podhale Nowy Targ to score first✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Podhale Nowy Targ / FT Podhale Nowy Targ✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
Podhale Nowy Targ
No recent results on record.
Olimpia Grudziądz
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Podhale Nowy Targ and Olimpia Grudziądz.
What is the prediction for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Our pick is Podhale Nowy Targ or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
On our numbers Podhale Nowy Targ have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Olimpia Grudziądz 26%.
How many goals will there be in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Our predicted score is Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1 Olimpia Grudziądz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz (II Liga East) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Pilsudskiego.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
