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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zaglebie Sosnowiec v Warta Poznań: numbers & prediction

II Liga East · Poland · ArcelorMittal Park
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 33%Draw 25%Warta Poznań 42% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.50
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultWarta Poznań to win ✗42% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.22

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznań: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 March the II Liga East brings Zaglebie Sosnowiec against Warta Poznań at ArcelorMittal Park. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Zaglebie Sosnowiec, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Unia Skierniewice, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Warta Poznań, last 4: DWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Świt Skolwin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1.3 xG, Warta Poznań 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zaglebie Sosnowiec 33%, draw 25%, Warta Poznań 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1–1 Warta Poznań. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zaglebie Sosnowiec33%fair 3.02 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.20
Warta Poznań42%fair 2.41 · @2.38
2.79Expected goals
1.29Zaglebie Sosnowiec xG
1.50Warta Poznań xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1.3 – 1.5 Warta Poznań expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Zaglebie SosnowiecWarta Poznań
Attack vs II Liga East average-13%-2%
Goals conceded vs average+10%-15%
Our expected goals here1.231.47

Our own ratings from every II Liga East result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWarta Poznań to win ✗42%2.412.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.341.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.62
Draw no betWarta Poznań (draw no bet)56%1.80–
Asian handicapZaglebie Sosnowiec +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.89–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreWarta Poznań to score first50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Warta Poznań / FT Warta Poznań ✗25%4.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.22–

Recent results

Zaglebie Sosnowiec – last 5

LLWLW
18 Mar@ Unia Skierniewice2–3L
15 Mar@ Olimpia Grudziądz1–7L
7 Marvs Podhale Nowy Targ1–0W
24 Febvs Sandecja Nowy Sącz1–2L
14 Feb@ Jastrzębie6–2W
2.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Warta Poznań – last 4

DWDL
18 Marvs Świt Skolwin0–0D
13 Marvs Jastrzębie3–1W
28 Febvs ŁKS Łódź II2–2D
13 Febvs Elana Toruń1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Warta Poznań.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznań head-to-head page →

More II Liga East predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznań?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznań?

On our numbers Zaglebie Sosnowiec have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Warta Poznań 42%.

How many goals will there be in Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznań?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznań?

Our predicted score is Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1–1 Warta Poznań, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznań?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Warta Poznań (II Liga East) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at ArcelorMittal Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.