Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 61% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSandecja Nowy Sącz to win ✗51% · @1.85
Double chanceSandecja Nowy Sącz or draw ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Podhale Nowy Targ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Sandecja Nowy Sącz v Podhale Nowy Targ in the II Liga East, played at Stadion im. Ojca Władysława Augustynka. In the table, Sandecja Nowy Sącz are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Podhale Nowy Targ are 8th (upper half) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sandecja Nowy Sącz, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kalisz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Podhale Nowy Targ, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Świt Skolwin, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1.7 xG, Podhale Nowy Targ 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sandecja Nowy Sącz 51%, draw 25%, Podhale Nowy Targ 25%.
Lower-risk option: Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw (75%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1–1 Podhale Nowy Targ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sandecja Nowy Sącz51%fair 1.97 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.10
Podhale Nowy Targ25%fair 4.08 · @3.70
2.85Expected goals
1.66Sandecja Nowy Sącz xG
1.20Podhale Nowy Targ xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1.7 – 1.2 Podhale Nowy Targ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Podhale Nowy Targ
Attack vs II Liga East average
+5%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.66
1.39
Our own ratings from every II Liga East result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sandecja Nowy Sącz to win✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Double chance
Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw✓
75%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Sandecja Nowy Sącz (draw no bet)
67%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Podhale Nowy Targ +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Sandecja Nowy Sącz to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sandecja Nowy Sącz / FT Sandecja Nowy Sącz✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Sandecja Nowy Sącz – last 6
DDDDWW
17 Apr
vs Kalisz
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Resovia Rzeszów
2–2
D
28 Mar
@ Stal Stalowa Wola
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Jastrzębie
5–0
W
24 Feb
@ Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Podhale Nowy Targ – last 6
WDWDDW
26 Apr
vs Świt Skolwin
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ ŁKS Łódź II
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Sokół Kleczew
4–0
W
2 Apr
@ Kalisz
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Unia Skierniewice
3–3
D
15 Mar
vs Resovia Rzeszów
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sandecja Nowy Sącz and Podhale Nowy Targ.
What is the prediction for Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Our pick is Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
On our numbers Sandecja Nowy Sącz have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Podhale Nowy Targ 25%.
How many goals will there be in Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Our predicted score is Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1–1 Podhale Nowy Targ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Podhale Nowy Targ (II Liga East) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Ojca Władysława Augustynka.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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