Kalisz vs Warta Poznań: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the II Liga East brings Kalisz against Warta Poznań at Stadion Miejski. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT.
Current form
Kalisz, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Śląsk Wrocław II, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Warta Poznań, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sandecja Nowy Sącz, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Warta Poznań, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Kalisz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kalisz 1.1 xG, Warta Poznań 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kalisz 22%, draw 26%, Warta Poznań 51%.
Lower-risk option: Warta Poznań or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Warta Poznań or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kalisz 1–1 Warta Poznań. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kalisz22%fair 4.47 · @3.80
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.20
Warta Poznań51%fair 1.95 · @1.83
2.69Expected goals
1.08Kalisz xG
1.61Warta Poznań xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kalisz 1.1 – 1.6 Warta Poznań expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Kalisz
Warta Poznań
Attack vs II Liga East average
-18%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.15
1.52
Our own ratings from every II Liga East result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Warta Poznań to win✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Double chance
Warta Poznań or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.73
Draw no bet
Warta Poznań (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Kalisz +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Warta Poznań to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Warta Poznań / FT Warta Poznań✓
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Kalisz – last 6
LWDDLD
9 May
@ Śląsk Wrocław II
2–3
L
1 May
@ Resovia Rzeszów
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Podhale Nowy Targ
2–2
D
29 Mar
@ Podbeskidzie
1–4
L
18 Mar
vs Stal Stalowa Wola
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Warta Poznań – last 6
DWDWWD
10 May
vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz
0–0
D
3 May
@ Hutnik Kraków
1–0
W
15 Apr
vs Śląsk Wrocław II
1–1
D
11 Apr
@ Stal Stalowa Wola
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ Sokół Kleczew
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalisz and Warta Poznań.
What is the prediction for Kalisz vs Warta Poznań?
Our pick is Warta Poznań or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kalisz vs Warta Poznań?
On our numbers Kalisz have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Warta Poznań 51%.
How many goals will there be in Kalisz vs Warta Poznań?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalisz vs Warta Poznań?
Our predicted score is Kalisz 1–1 Warta Poznań, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kalisz vs Warta Poznań?
Kalisz vs Warta Poznań (II Liga East) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sandecja Nowy Sącz1
Olimpia Grudziądz3
Hutnik Kraków1
Podhale Nowy Targ0
Świt Skolwin4
Śląsk Wrocław II3