Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultWarta Poznań to win ✗38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.44
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Warta Poznań: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 23 May the II Liga East brings Podhale Nowy Targ against Warta Poznań at Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Pilsudskiego. Kick-off: 11:45 WAT.
Current form
Podhale Nowy Targ, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hutnik Kraków, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Warta Poznań, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kalisz, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Warta Poznań, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Podhale Nowy Targ.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Podhale Nowy Targ 1.4 xG, Warta Poznań 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Podhale Nowy Targ 36%, draw 25%, Warta Poznań 38%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1 Warta Poznań. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Podhale Nowy Targ36%fair 2.76 · @2.88
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.20
Warta Poznań38%fair 2.61 · @2.15
2.67Expected goals
1.37Podhale Nowy Targ xG
1.30Warta Poznań xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Podhale Nowy Targ 1.4 – 1.3 Warta Poznań expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Podhale Nowy Targ
Warta Poznań
Attack vs II Liga East average
+8%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.51
1.28
Our own ratings from every II Liga East result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Warta Poznań to win✗
38%
2.61
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.73
Draw no bet
Warta Poznań (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Warta Poznań +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Podhale Nowy Targ to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Podhale Nowy Targ / FT Podhale Nowy Targ✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.44
–
Recent results
Podhale Nowy Targ – last 6
LDWDWD
17 May
@ Hutnik Kraków
0–1
L
3 May
@ Sandecja Nowy Sącz
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Świt Skolwin
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ ŁKS Łódź II
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Sokół Kleczew
4–0
W
2 Apr
@ Kalisz
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Warta Poznań – last 6
WDWDWW
17 May
@ Kalisz
2–0
W
10 May
vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz
0–0
D
3 May
@ Hutnik Kraków
1–0
W
15 Apr
vs Śląsk Wrocław II
1–1
D
11 Apr
@ Stal Stalowa Wola
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ Sokół Kleczew
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Podhale Nowy Targ and Warta Poznań.
What is the prediction for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Warta Poznań?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Warta Poznań?
On our numbers Podhale Nowy Targ have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Warta Poznań 38%.
How many goals will there be in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Warta Poznań?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Warta Poznań?
Our predicted score is Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1 Warta Poznań, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Warta Poznań?
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Warta Poznań (II Liga East) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 11:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Pilsudskiego.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ŁKS Łódź II1
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