Podbeskidzie 55%Draw 23%Podhale Nowy Targ 21%Expected goals 1.86 – 1.12
79%
Betarazi pick
Podbeskidzie or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultPodbeskidzie to win ✓55% · @1.75
Double chancePodbeskidzie or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.16
Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Podbeskidzie welcome Podhale Nowy Targ to Stadion Miejski for a II Liga East fixture on Saturday 30 May (13:30 WAT).
Current form
Podbeskidzie, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Świt Skolwin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Podhale Nowy Targ, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Warta Poznań, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Podbeskidzie, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Podhale Nowy Targ.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Podbeskidzie 1.9 xG, Podhale Nowy Targ 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Podbeskidzie 55%, draw 23%, Podhale Nowy Targ 21%.
Lower-risk option: Podbeskidzie or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Podbeskidzie or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Podbeskidzie 1–1 Podhale Nowy Targ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Podbeskidzie55%fair 1.81 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.50
Podhale Nowy Targ21%fair 4.71 · @3.60
2.98Expected goals
1.86Podbeskidzie xG
1.12Podhale Nowy Targ xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Podbeskidzie 1.9 – 1.1 Podhale Nowy Targ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Podbeskidzie
Podhale Nowy Targ
Attack vs II Liga East average
+22%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.92
1.22
Our own ratings from every II Liga East result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Podbeskidzie to win✓
55%
1.81
1.75
Double chance
Podbeskidzie or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Draw no bet
Podbeskidzie (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Podhale Nowy Targ +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Podbeskidzie to score first
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Podbeskidzie ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Podbeskidzie / FT Podbeskidzie✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Podbeskidzie – last 6
WWWDWD
1 May
@ Świt Skolwin
2–0
W
24 Apr
vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Kalisz
4–1
W
22 Mar
vs Olimpia Grudziądz
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ ŁKS Łódź II
4–1
W
27 Feb
vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Podhale Nowy Targ – last 6
DLDWDW
23 May
vs Warta Poznań
2–2
D
17 May
@ Hutnik Kraków
0–1
L
3 May
@ Sandecja Nowy Sącz
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Świt Skolwin
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ ŁKS Łódź II
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Sokół Kleczew
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Podbeskidzie and Podhale Nowy Targ.
What is the prediction for Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Our pick is Podbeskidzie or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
On our numbers Podbeskidzie have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Podhale Nowy Targ 21%.
How many goals will there be in Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Our predicted score is Podbeskidzie 1–1 Podhale Nowy Targ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ (II Liga East) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kalisz2
Unia Skierniewice1
ŁKS Łódź II1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec0
Warta Poznań2