Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBenfica to win ✓62% · @1.60
Double chanceBenfica or draw ✓84% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.19
GIL Vicente vs Benfica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 2 March the Primeira Liga brings GIL Vicente against Benfica at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos. Kick-off: 21:15 WAT. In the table, GIL Vicente are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Benfica are 2nd (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Benfica, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Real Madrid, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give GIL Vicente 0.9 xG, Benfica 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – GIL Vicente 16%, draw 22%, Benfica 62%.
Lower-risk option: Benfica or draw (84%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: GIL Vicente 0–2 Benfica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
GIL Vicente16%fair 6.22 · @5.60
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.75
Benfica62%fair 1.60 · @1.60
2.77Expected goals
0.85GIL Vicente xG
1.92Benfica xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: GIL Vicente 0.9 – 1.9 Benfica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica to win✓
62%
1.60
1.60
Double chance
Benfica or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Benfica (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Benfica -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
First team to score
Benfica to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Benfica ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica / FT Benfica✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
GIL Vicente – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Estoril
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Benfica – last 3
LLW
25 Feb
@ Real Madrid
1–2
L
17 Feb
vs Real Madrid
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Santa Clara
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GIL Vicente and Benfica.
What is the prediction for GIL Vicente vs Benfica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs Benfica?
On our numbers GIL Vicente have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Benfica 62%.
How many goals will there be in GIL Vicente vs Benfica?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GIL Vicente vs Benfica?
Our predicted score is GIL Vicente 0–2 Benfica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is GIL Vicente vs Benfica?
GIL Vicente vs Benfica (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
