Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGIL Vicente to win ✓58% · @1.62
Double chanceGIL Vicente or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.68
GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Casa Pia travel to face GIL Vicente on Monday 27 April in the Primeira Liga, with Estádio Cidade de Barcelos the venue – the ball rolls at 20:15 WAT. In the table, GIL Vicente are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Casa Pia are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
GIL Vicente, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tondela, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Casa Pia, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to SC Braga, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Momentum favours GIL Vicente, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.4 for Casa Pia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give GIL Vicente 1.6 xG, Casa Pia 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – GIL Vicente 58%, draw 25%, Casa Pia 17%.
Lower-risk option: GIL Vicente or draw (83%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: GIL Vicente 1–0 Casa Pia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
GIL Vicente58%fair 1.72 · @1.62
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.70
Casa Pia17%fair 6.02 · @5.50
2.44Expected goals
1.65GIL Vicente xG
0.79Casa Pia xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: GIL Vicente 1.6 – 0.8 Casa Pia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GIL Vicente to win✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Double chance
GIL Vicente or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
GIL Vicente (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Casa Pia +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.09
First team to score
GIL Vicente to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GIL Vicente / FT GIL Vicente✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.68
–
Recent results
GIL Vicente – last 5
DWDLL
13 Apr
@ Tondela
2–2
D
3 Apr
vs AVS
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Estrela
2–2
D
2 Mar
vs Benfica
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Estoril
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Casa Pia – last 5
LDLDL
23 Apr
vs SC Braga
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Benfica
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Estrela
0–4
L
1 Mar
vs Moreirense
1–1
D
23 Feb
@ Famalicao
0–2
L
0.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GIL Vicente and Casa Pia.
What is the prediction for GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
On our numbers GIL Vicente have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Casa Pia 17%.
How many goals will there be in GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
Our predicted score is GIL Vicente 1–0 Casa Pia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia?
GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
