Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✗50% · @1.83
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.37
LNZ Cherkasy vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Monday 13 April: LNZ Cherkasy v Shakhtar Donetsk in the Premier League, played at Cherkasy Arena. In the table, LNZ Cherkasy are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st (leading the league) with 29.
Current form
LNZ Cherkasy, last 4: WWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kryvbas KR, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over AZ Alkmaar, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give LNZ Cherkasy 0.8 xG, Shakhtar Donetsk 1.3 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – LNZ Cherkasy 20%, draw 30%, Shakhtar Donetsk 50%.
Lower-risk option: Shakhtar Donetsk or draw (80%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: LNZ Cherkasy 0–1 Shakhtar Donetsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
LNZ Cherkasy20%fair 4.96 · @4.50
Draw30%fair 3.30 · @3.00
Shakhtar Donetsk50%fair 2.02 · @1.83
2.05Expected goals
0.78LNZ Cherkasy xG
1.27Shakhtar Donetsk xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–013%
1–113%
0–210%
1–010%
1–28%
From our goals model: LNZ Cherkasy 0.8 – 1.3 Shakhtar Donetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shakhtar Donetsk to win✗
50%
2.02
1.83
Double chance
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Shakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet)
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
LNZ Cherkasy +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Shakhtar Donetsk to score first
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.37
–
Recent results
LNZ Cherkasy – last 4
WWLW
5 Apr
@ Kryvbas KR
3–0
W
9 Mar
@ Veres Rivne
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Polessya
1–3
L
21 Feb
@ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6
WWLWWW
9 Apr
vs AZ Alkmaar
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Ruh Lviv
3–0
W
19 Mar
vs Lech Poznan
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1–0
W
12 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ Oleksandria
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between LNZ Cherkasy and Shakhtar Donetsk.
What is the prediction for LNZ Cherkasy vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win LNZ Cherkasy vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
On our numbers LNZ Cherkasy have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Shakhtar Donetsk 50%.
How many goals will there be in LNZ Cherkasy vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LNZ Cherkasy vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our predicted score is LNZ Cherkasy 0–1 Shakhtar Donetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is LNZ Cherkasy vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
LNZ Cherkasy vs Shakhtar Donetsk (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Cherkasy Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
