Kryvbas KR vs Karpaty: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 8 May the Premier League brings Kryvbas KR against Karpaty at Girnyk. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Kryvbas KR are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Karpaty are 5th (upper half) with 19. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kryvbas KR, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with SK Poltava, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Karpaty, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kryvbas KR 1.2 xG, Karpaty 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kryvbas KR 30%, draw 24%, Karpaty 46%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kryvbas KR 1–1 Karpaty. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kryvbas KR30%fair 3.33 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.35
Karpaty46%fair 2.19 · @2.30
2.85Expected goals
1.18Kryvbas KR xG
1.66Karpaty xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Kryvbas KR 1.2 – 1.7 Karpaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karpaty to win✗
46%
2.19
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.55
Draw no bet
Karpaty (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Kryvbas KR +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Karpaty to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karpaty / FT Karpaty✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Kryvbas KR – last 6
DLWWLW
1 May
@ SK Poltava
3–3
D
26 Apr
vs Dynamo Kyiv
5–6
L
19 Apr
vs Ruh Lviv
3–0
W
12 Apr
@ Kudrivka
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs LNZ Cherkasy
0–3
L
21 Mar
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Karpaty – last 6
DWWWDL
19 Apr
@ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0–0
D
11 Apr
vs Oleksandria
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Obolon'-Brovar
4–0
W
13 Mar
@ SK Poltava
4–0
W
8 Mar
vs Kudrivka
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Kolos Kovalivka
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kryvbas KR and Karpaty.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kryvbas KR vs Karpaty?
On our numbers Kryvbas KR have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Karpaty 46%.
How many goals will there be in Kryvbas KR vs Karpaty?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kryvbas KR vs Karpaty?
Our predicted score is Kryvbas KR 1–1 Karpaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kryvbas KR vs Karpaty?
Kryvbas KR vs Karpaty (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Girnyk.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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