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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shakhtar Donetsk v Obolon'-Brovar: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ukraine · Arena Lviv
3–1
FT
Shakhtar Donetsk 75%Draw 18%Obolon'-Brovar 7% Expected goals 2.24 – 0.52
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓75% · @1.17
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓93% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12% · fair 8.43

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Wednesday 13 May: Shakhtar Donetsk v Obolon'-Brovar in the Premier League, played at Arena Lviv. In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 12 matches; Obolon'-Brovar are 14th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over SK Poltava, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Obolon'-Brovar, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kudrivka, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Shakhtar Donetsk, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Obolon'-Brovar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shakhtar Donetsk 2.2 xG, Obolon'-Brovar 0.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shakhtar Donetsk 75%, draw 18%, Obolon'-Brovar 7%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shakhtar Donetsk 2–0 Obolon'-Brovar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shakhtar Donetsk75%fair 1.34 · @1.17
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @5.40
Obolon'-Brovar7%fair 14.27 · @16.00
2.76Expected goals
2.24Shakhtar Donetsk xG
0.52Obolon'-Brovar xG
47%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–016%
1–014%
3–012%
2–18%
1–17%
4–07%

From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 2.2 – 0.5 Obolon'-Brovar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓75%1.341.17
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓93%1.081.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.871.55
Draw no betShakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet) ✓91%1.09–
Asian handicapShakhtar Donetsk -1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.551.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.22
First team to scoreShakhtar Donetsk to score first76%1.32–
Half-time resultShakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time ✓55%1.83–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk ✓52%1.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12%8.43–

Recent results

Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6

WLLWWD
10 May@ SK Poltava4–0W
7 May@ Crystal Palace1–2L
30 Aprvs Crystal Palace1–3L
23 Apr@ Zorya Luhansk2–1W
20 Aprvs Polessya1–0W
16 Apr@ AZ Alkmaar2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Obolon'-Brovar – last 6

DDDLLW
3 Mayvs Kudrivka1–1D
17 Aprvs SK Poltava1–1D
5 Aprvs Zorya Luhansk3–3D
22 Mar@ Karpaty0–4L
13 Mar@ Dynamo Kyiv1–2L
1 Marvs Ruh Lviv1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Obolon'-Brovar.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12921+1729
2Polessya11911+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11722+723
4FC Kharkiv9702+1121
5Karpaty11542+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11533+218
7Zorya Luhansk12534-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10334-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12246-510
10Bukovyna11173-510
11Chornomorets11236-59
12Livyi Bereh10163-29
13Veres Rivne12237-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11155-138
15Kudrivka12228-178
16Kryvbas KR10145-87

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar?

On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Obolon'-Brovar 7%.

How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar?

Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 2–0 Obolon'-Brovar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar?

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Lviv.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.