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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kryvbas KR v Shakhtar Donetsk: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ukraine · Girnyk
2–3
FT
Kryvbas KR 15%Draw 24%Shakhtar Donetsk 62% Expected goals 0.88 – 1.98
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓62% · @1.48
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓85% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kryvbas KR welcome Shakhtar Donetsk to Girnyk for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 17 May (11:00 WAT). In the table, Kryvbas KR are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st (leading the league) with 29. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kryvbas KR, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Veres Rivne, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Obolon'-Brovar, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kryvbas KR 0.9 xG, Shakhtar Donetsk 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kryvbas KR 15%, draw 24%, Shakhtar Donetsk 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kryvbas KR 0–1 Shakhtar Donetsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kryvbas KR15%fair 6.85 · @5.60
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @4.20
Shakhtar Donetsk62%fair 1.62 · @1.48
2.85Expected goals
0.88Kryvbas KR xG
1.98Shakhtar Donetsk xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Kryvbas KR 0.9 – 2.0 Shakhtar Donetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓62%1.621.48
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓85%1.171.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.57
Draw no betShakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapShakhtar Donetsk -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.571.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.251.22
First team to scoreShakhtar Donetsk to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultShakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk ✓40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

Kryvbas KR – last 6

WWDLWW
12 May@ Veres Rivne3–1W
8 Mayvs Karpaty1–0W
1 May@ SK Poltava3–3D
26 Aprvs Dynamo Kyiv5–6L
19 Aprvs Ruh Lviv3–0W
12 Apr@ Kudrivka2–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6

WWLLWW
13 Mayvs Obolon'-Brovar3–1W
10 May@ SK Poltava4–0W
7 May@ Crystal Palace1–2L
30 Aprvs Crystal Palace1–3L
23 Apr@ Zorya Luhansk2–1W
20 Aprvs Polessya1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kryvbas KR and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12921+1729
2Polessya11911+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11722+723
4FC Kharkiv9702+1121
5Karpaty11542+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11533+218
7Zorya Luhansk12534-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10334-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12246-510
10Bukovyna11173-510
11Chornomorets11236-59
12Livyi Bereh10163-29
13Veres Rivne12237-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11155-138
15Kudrivka12228-178
16Kryvbas KR10145-87

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

On our numbers Kryvbas KR have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shakhtar Donetsk 62%.

How many goals will there be in Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our predicted score is Kryvbas KR 0–1 Shakhtar Donetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Girnyk.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.