Zorya Luhansk vs Polessya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Monday 18 May: Zorya Luhansk v Polessya in the Premier League, played at Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho. In the table, Zorya Luhansk are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Polessya are 2nd (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Zorya Luhansk, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Oleksandria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Polessya, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zorya Luhansk 1.0 xG, Polessya 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zorya Luhansk 21%, draw 24%, Polessya 55%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zorya Luhansk 1–1 Polessya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zorya Luhansk21%fair 4.74 · @5.40
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.85
Polessya55%fair 1.81 · @1.53
2.67Expected goals
1.03Zorya Luhansk xG
1.64Polessya xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Zorya Luhansk 1.0 – 1.6 Polessya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polessya to win✗
55%
1.81
1.53
Double chance
Polessya or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.91
Draw no bet
Polessya (draw no bet)
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Zorya Luhansk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Polessya to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polessya / FT Polessya✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Zorya Luhansk – last 6
WWWLLW
12 May
@ Oleksandria
2–1
W
4 May
@ Ruh Lviv
2–1
W
27 Apr
vs Veres Rivne
2–0
W
23 Apr
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Dynamo Kyiv
1–3
L
12 Apr
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Polessya – last 6
LWWLDW
12 May
@ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2–3
L
8 May
vs Oleksandria
2–1
W
3 May
@ Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1–0
W
20 Apr
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Veres Rivne
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Kudrivka
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zorya Luhansk and Polessya.
What is the prediction for Zorya Luhansk vs Polessya?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs Polessya?
On our numbers Zorya Luhansk have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Polessya 55%.
How many goals will there be in Zorya Luhansk vs Polessya?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zorya Luhansk vs Polessya?
Our predicted score is Zorya Luhansk 1–1 Polessya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Zorya Luhansk vs Polessya?
Zorya Luhansk vs Polessya (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
