Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✗88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.75
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shakhtar Donetsk welcome Kolos Kovalivka to Ukraina Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Thursday 21 May (13:30 WAT). In the table, Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 12 matches; Kolos Kovalivka are 8th (upper half) with 12. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Shakhtar Donetsk, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Kryvbas KR, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Kolos Kovalivka, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Obolon'-Brovar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shakhtar Donetsk 1.9 xG, Kolos Kovalivka 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shakhtar Donetsk 67%, draw 21%, Kolos Kovalivka 12%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Kolos Kovalivka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shakhtar Donetsk67%fair 1.49 · @1.28
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @4.40
Kolos Kovalivka12%fair 8.37 · @10.75
2.54Expected goals
1.87Shakhtar Donetsk xG
0.66Kolos Kovalivka xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.9 – 0.7 Kolos Kovalivka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shakhtar Donetsk to win✗
67%
1.49
1.28
Double chance
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.53
Draw no bet
Shakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet)✗
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Shakhtar Donetsk -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Shakhtar Donetsk to score first✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Shakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.75
–
Recent results
Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6
WWWLLW
17 May
@ Kryvbas KR
3–2
W
13 May
vs Obolon'-Brovar
3–1
W
10 May
@ SK Poltava
4–0
W
7 May
@ Crystal Palace
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Crystal Palace
1–3
L
23 Apr
@ Zorya Luhansk
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Kolos Kovalivka – last 6
LLWWWD
17 May
vs Obolon'-Brovar
0–2
L
13 May
@ Dynamo Kyiv
1–2
L
8 May
vs Kudrivka
1–0
W
24 Apr
vs SK Poltava
2–0
W
18 Apr
vs LNZ Cherkasy
1–0
W
10 Apr
@ Ruh Lviv
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Kolos Kovalivka.
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?
On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kolos Kovalivka 12%.
How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?
Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Kolos Kovalivka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Ukraina Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
