Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 56% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Madrid W to win ✓75% · @1.09
Double chanceReal Madrid W or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Alhama vs Real Madrid W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Alhama v Real Madrid W in the Primera División Femenina, played at Campo Municipal de Fútbol José Kubala.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alhama 1.0 xG, Real Madrid W 2.7 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alhama 9%, draw 16%, Real Madrid W 75%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alhama 1–2 Real Madrid W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alhama9%fair 11.16 · @21.00
Draw16%fair 6.42 · @7.50
Real Madrid W75%fair 1.33 · @1.09
3.65Expected goals
0.96Alhama xG
2.69Real Madrid W xG
56%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–29%
1–29%
0–38%
1–38%
0–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: Alhama 1.0 – 2.7 Real Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid W to win✓
75%
1.33
1.09
Double chance
Real Madrid W or draw✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Madrid W (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Real Madrid W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
First team to score
Real Madrid W to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Real Madrid W ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid W / FT Real Madrid W✓
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Alhama
No recent results on record.
Real Madrid W
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alhama and Real Madrid W.
What is the prediction for Alhama vs Real Madrid W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Alhama vs Real Madrid W?
On our numbers Alhama have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Real Madrid W 75%.
How many goals will there be in Alhama vs Real Madrid W?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alhama vs Real Madrid W?
Our predicted score is Alhama 1–2 Real Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Alhama vs Real Madrid W?
Alhama vs Real Madrid W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol José Kubala.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
