Madrid CFF W 63%Draw 18%Alhama 18%Expected goals 2.29 – 1.26
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.46 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.46Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.70 – our chance 62% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMadrid CFF W to win ✓63% · @1.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53
Madrid CFF W vs Alhama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Madrid CFF W v Alhama in the Primera División Femenina, played at Estadio Fernando Torres.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Madrid CFF W 2.3 xG, Alhama 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Madrid CFF W 63%, draw 18%, Alhama 18%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: Madrid CFF W 2–1 Alhama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Madrid CFF W63%fair 1.58 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.75
Alhama18%fair 5.45 · @6.00
3.55Expected goals
2.29Madrid CFF W xG
1.26Alhama xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Madrid CFF W 2.3 – 1.3 Alhama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Madrid CFF W to win✓
63%
1.58
1.36
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Madrid CFF W (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Madrid CFF W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.46
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.26
First team to score
Madrid CFF W to score first✓
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Madrid CFF W ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Madrid CFF W / FT Madrid CFF W✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Madrid CFF W – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Atletico Madrid W
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Alhama – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Real Madrid W
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Madrid CFF W and Alhama.
What is the prediction for Madrid CFF W vs Alhama?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Madrid CFF W vs Alhama?
On our numbers Madrid CFF W have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Alhama 18%.
How many goals will there be in Madrid CFF W vs Alhama?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Madrid CFF W vs Alhama?
Our predicted score is Madrid CFF W 2–1 Alhama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Madrid CFF W vs Alhama?
Madrid CFF W vs Alhama (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fernando Torres.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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