Eibar W 11%Draw 18%Real Madrid W 71%Expected goals 0.80 – 2.14
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Madrid W to win ✓71% · @1.14
Double chanceReal Madrid W or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Eibar W vs Real Madrid W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Primera División Femenina brings Eibar W against Real Madrid W at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Eibar W are 9th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Real Madrid W are 2nd (among the top four) with 23.
Current form
Real Madrid W, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Granad. Tenerife W, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Eibar W 0.8 xG, Real Madrid W 2.1 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 51% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Eibar W 11%, draw 18%, Real Madrid W 71%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eibar W 0–2 Real Madrid W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Eibar W11%fair 9.33 · @18.00
Draw18%fair 5.51 · @6.00
Real Madrid W71%fair 1.41 · @1.14
2.93Expected goals
0.80Eibar W xG
2.14Real Madrid W xG
51%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Eibar W 0.8 – 2.1 Real Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid W to win✓
71%
1.41
1.14
Double chance
Real Madrid W or draw✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Madrid W (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Real Madrid W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
First team to score
Real Madrid W to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Real Madrid W ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid W / FT Real Madrid W✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Eibar W – last 2
LL
16 Mar
@ Espanyol W
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Athletic Club W
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Real Madrid W – last 3
WWW
22 Feb
vs Granad. Tenerife W
2–0
W
18 Feb
vs Paris FC W
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Alhama
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eibar W and Real Madrid W.
What is the prediction for Eibar W vs Real Madrid W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Eibar W vs Real Madrid W?
On our numbers Eibar W have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Madrid W 71%.
How many goals will there be in Eibar W vs Real Madrid W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eibar W vs Real Madrid W?
Our predicted score is Eibar W 0–2 Real Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Eibar W vs Real Madrid W?
Eibar W vs Real Madrid W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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