Double chanceAtletico Madrid W or draw ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.45
Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 29 March the Primera División Femenina brings Athletic Club W against Atletico Madrid W at Lezama Facilities. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Athletic Club W are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Atletico Madrid W are 3rd (among the top four) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Athletic Club W, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Madrid CFF W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Atletico Madrid W, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Alhama, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Athletic Club W, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.4 for Atletico Madrid W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Club W 1.1 xG, Atletico Madrid W 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Club W 23%, draw 25%, Atletico Madrid W 52%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Madrid W or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Madrid W or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Club W 1–1 Atletico Madrid W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Athletic Club W23%fair 4.37 · @3.50
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.35
Atletico Madrid W52%fair 1.93 · @1.91
2.76Expected goals
1.11Athletic Club W xG
1.65Atletico Madrid W xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Athletic Club W 1.1 – 1.7 Atletico Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Madrid W to win✓
52%
1.93
1.91
Double chance
Atletico Madrid W or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.73
Draw no bet
Atletico Madrid W (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Athletic Club W +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Atletico Madrid W to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Madrid W / FT Atletico Madrid W✗
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
Athletic Club W – last 3
WWL
15 Mar
vs Madrid CFF W
4–1
W
22 Feb
@ Eibar W
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Real Sociedad W
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atletico Madrid W – last 5
WWLLD
22 Mar
@ Alhama
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Edf Logrono W
5–0
W
22 Feb
@ Sevilla W
1–2
L
19 Feb
@ Manchester United W
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Madrid CFF W
0–0
D
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club W and Atletico Madrid W.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Our pick is Atletico Madrid W or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?
On our numbers Athletic Club W have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico Madrid W 52%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club W 1–1 Atletico Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lezama Facilities.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.