Alhama 13%Draw 21%Real Sociedad W 67%Expected goals 1.01 – 2.17
67%
Betarazi pick
Real Sociedad W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReal Sociedad W to win ✓67% · @1.22
Double chanceReal Sociedad W or draw ✓87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Alhama vs Real Sociedad W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Alhama v Real Sociedad W in the Primera División Femenina, played at Campo Municipal de Fútbol José Kubala.
Current form
Alhama, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FC Levante Badalona, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Real Sociedad W, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Edf Logrono W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Real Sociedad W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.0 for Alhama.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alhama 1.0 xG, Real Sociedad W 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alhama 13%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad W 67%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Sociedad W to win (67%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alhama 1–2 Real Sociedad W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alhama13%fair 7.90 · @12.00
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @5.00
Real Sociedad W67%fair 1.50 · @1.22
3.18Expected goals
1.01Alhama xG
2.17Real Sociedad W xG
56%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Alhama 1.0 – 2.2 Real Sociedad W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Sociedad W to win✓
67%
1.50
1.22
Double chance
Real Sociedad W or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Sociedad W (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Real Sociedad W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
First team to score
Real Sociedad W to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Real Sociedad W ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Sociedad W / FT Real Sociedad W✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Alhama – last 5
LLLLL
28 Mar
@ FC Levante Badalona
2–3
L
22 Mar
vs Atletico Madrid W
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Sevilla W
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Madrid CFF W
0–5
L
15 Feb
vs Real Madrid W
0–3
L
0.6Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad W – last 4
DWWW
29 Mar
vs Edf Logrono W
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ Levante W
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Espanyol W
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Athletic Club W
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alhama and Real Sociedad W.
What is the prediction for Alhama vs Real Sociedad W?
Our pick is Real Sociedad W to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alhama vs Real Sociedad W?
On our numbers Alhama have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Sociedad W 67%.
How many goals will there be in Alhama vs Real Sociedad W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alhama vs Real Sociedad W?
Our predicted score is Alhama 1–2 Real Sociedad W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Alhama vs Real Sociedad W?
Alhama vs Real Sociedad W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol José Kubala.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
