Sevilla W 13%Draw 20%Real Madrid W 67%Expected goals 0.91 – 2.13
67%
Betarazi pick
Real Madrid W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.30
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultReal Madrid W to win67% · @1.30
Double chanceReal Madrid W or draw87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.13
Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Madrid W travel to face Sevilla W on Saturday 2 May in the Primera División Femenina, with Estadio Jesus Navas the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Sevilla W are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Real Madrid W are 2nd (among the top four) with 23. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sevilla W, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Granad. Tenerife W, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Real Madrid W, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Madrid CFF W, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sevilla W 0.9 xG, Real Madrid W 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sevilla W 13%, draw 20%, Real Madrid W 67%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Madrid W to win (67%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevilla W 0–2 Real Madrid W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sevilla W13%fair 7.85 · @8.25
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @4.80
Real Madrid W67%fair 1.49 · @1.30
3.04Expected goals
0.91Sevilla W xG
2.13Real Madrid W xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sevilla W 0.9 – 2.1 Real Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid W to win
67%
1.49
1.30
Double chance
Real Madrid W or draw
87%
1.15
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Madrid W (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Real Madrid W -0.5 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
62%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Real Madrid W to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Real Madrid W ahead at half-time
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid W / FT Real Madrid W
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Sevilla W – last 5
LLLWW
26 Apr
@ Granad. Tenerife W
0–3
L
4 Apr
@ Edf Logrono W
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs FC Levante Badalona
1–5
L
15 Mar
@ Alhama
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Atletico Madrid W
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Real Madrid W – last 6
WLLLWW
5 Apr
@ Madrid CFF W
2–0
W
2 Apr
@ Barcelona W
0–6
L
29 Mar
vs Barcelona W
0–3
L
25 Mar
vs Barcelona W
2–6
L
22 Mar
@ Eibar W
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Granad. Tenerife W
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla W and Real Madrid W.
What is the prediction for Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W?
Our pick is Real Madrid W to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W?
On our numbers Sevilla W have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Real Madrid W 67%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W?
Our predicted score is Sevilla W 0–2 Real Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W?
Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jesus Navas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
