Real Madrid W 52%Draw 23%Atletico Madrid W 25%Expected goals 1.88 – 1.30
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Madrid W to win52% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.48
Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Madrid W travel to face Real Madrid W on Sunday 10 May in the Primera División Femenina, with Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Real Madrid W are 2nd, among the top four, on 23 points after 10 matches; Atletico Madrid W are 3rd (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Real Madrid W, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Madrid CFF W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Atletico Madrid W, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Eibar W, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atletico Madrid W, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Real Madrid W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Madrid W 1.9 xG, Atletico Madrid W 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Madrid W 52%, draw 23%, Atletico Madrid W 25%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Madrid W 1–1 Atletico Madrid W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Madrid W52%fair 1.92 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.60
Atletico Madrid W25%fair 3.94 · @3.70
3.18Expected goals
1.88Real Madrid W xG
1.30Atletico Madrid W xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Real Madrid W 1.9 – 1.3 Atletico Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid W to win
52%
1.92
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.64
1.55
Draw no bet
Real Madrid W (draw no bet)
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Madrid W +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
62%
1.60
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Real Madrid W to score first
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Real Madrid W ahead at half-time
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid W / FT Real Madrid W
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Real Madrid W – last 6
WLLLWW
5 Apr
@ Madrid CFF W
2–0
W
2 Apr
@ Barcelona W
0–6
L
29 Mar
vs Barcelona W
0–3
L
25 Mar
vs Barcelona W
2–6
L
22 Mar
@ Eibar W
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Granad. Tenerife W
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Madrid W – last 6
WWWWWW
3 May
vs Eibar W
4–0
W
25 Apr
@ FC Levante Badalona
4–2
W
5 Apr
vs Deportivo de La Coruña W
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Athletic Club W
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Alhama
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Edf Logrono W
5–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid W and Atletico Madrid W.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W?
On our numbers Real Madrid W have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Madrid W 25%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid W 1–1 Atletico Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Levante W1