União de Leiria 57%Draw 24%FC Porto B 19%Expected goals 1.79 – 0.92
81%
Betarazi pick
União de Leiria or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: União de Leiria to win @ 1.88 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnião de Leiria to win ✗57% · @1.88
Double chanceUnião de Leiria or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
União de Leiria vs FC Porto B: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
União de Leiria welcome FC Porto B to Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa for a Segunda Liga fixture on Sunday 15 February (19:00 WAT). In the table, União de Leiria are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; FC Porto B are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give União de Leiria 1.8 xG, FC Porto B 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – União de Leiria 57%, draw 24%, FC Porto B 19%.
Lower-risk option: União de Leiria or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: União de Leiria to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was União de Leiria or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: União de Leiria 1–0 FC Porto B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
União de Leiria57%fair 1.76 · @1.88
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.30
FC Porto B19%fair 5.27 · @3.95
2.71Expected goals
1.79União de Leiria xG
0.92FC Porto B xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: União de Leiria 1.8 – 0.9 FC Porto B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
União de Leiria
FC Porto B
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
+21%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
+17%
Our expected goals here
1.90
0.96
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win✗
57%
1.76
1.88 ▲
Double chance
União de Leiria or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Draw no bet
União de Leiria (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
FC Porto B +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
União de Leiria to score first✓
62%
1.63
–
Half-time result
União de Leiria ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
União de Leiria
No recent results on record.
FC Porto B
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União de Leiria and FC Porto B.
What is the prediction for União de Leiria vs FC Porto B?
Our pick is União de Leiria or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win União de Leiria vs FC Porto B?
On our numbers União de Leiria have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Porto B 19%.
How many goals will there be in União de Leiria vs FC Porto B?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União de Leiria vs FC Porto B?
Our predicted score is União de Leiria 1–0 FC Porto B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is União de Leiria vs FC Porto B?
União de Leiria vs FC Porto B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pacos Ferreira0
Maritimo3