Value bet: Sporting CP B to win @ 2.52 – our chance 47% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSporting CP B to win ✗47% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Sporting CP B vs Chaves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 13 March: Sporting CP B v Chaves in the Segunda Liga, played at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira. In the table, Sporting CP B are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 10 matches; Chaves are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting CP B, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lusitânia Lourosa, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Chaves, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Academico Viseu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Chaves, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Sporting CP B.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting CP B 1.6 xG, Chaves 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting CP B 47%, draw 25%, Chaves 29%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Sporting CP B to win @2.52 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting CP B 1–0 Chaves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting CP B47%fair 2.15 · @2.52
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.10
Chaves29%fair 3.48 · @2.70
2.59Expected goals
1.60Sporting CP B xG
1.00Chaves xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sporting CP B 1.6 – 1.0 Chaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sporting CP B
Chaves
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
+7%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
+40%
Our expected goals here
2.00
0.94
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP B to win✗
47%
2.15
2.52 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.77
Draw no bet
Sporting CP B (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Chaves +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Sporting CP B to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP B / FT Sporting CP B✗
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Sporting CP B – last 4
LLLW
8 Mar
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Leixoes
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Maritimo
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Portimonense
4–3
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Chaves – last 3
WWL
6 Mar
vs Academico Viseu
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Farense
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Feirense
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP B and Chaves.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
On our numbers Sporting CP B have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chaves 29%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP B 1–0 Chaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
Sporting CP B vs Chaves (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
