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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Torreense v Portimonense: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estadio Manuel Marques
1–0
FT
Torreense 50%Draw 27%Portimonense 23% Expected goals 1.36 – 0.91
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultTorreense to win ✓50% · @1.78
Double chanceTorreense or draw ✓77% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48

Torreense vs Portimonense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 16 March the Segunda Liga brings Torreense against Portimonense at Estadio Manuel Marques. Kick-off: 21:15 WAT. In the table, Torreense are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Portimonense are 10th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Torreense, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Oliveirense, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Torreense 1.4 xG, Portimonense 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Torreense 50%, draw 27%, Portimonense 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Torreense or draw (77%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torreense 1–0 Portimonense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Torreense50%fair 1.99 · @1.78
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.35
Portimonense23%fair 4.43 · @4.33
2.27Expected goals
1.36Torreense xG
0.91Portimonense xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%

From our goals model: Torreense 1.4 – 0.9 Portimonense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

TorreensePortimonense
Attack vs Segunda Liga average-12%-25%
Goals conceded vs average-12%-11%
Our expected goals here1.050.81

Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorreense to win ✓50%1.991.78
Double chanceTorreense or draw ✓77%1.291.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.911.75
Draw no betTorreense (draw no bet) ✓69%1.45–
Asian handicapPortimonense +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.451.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreTorreense to score first ✓54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torreense / FT Torreense ✓28%3.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.48–

Recent results

Torreense – last 3

WWD
7 Mar@ Oliveirense3–0W
21 Febvs Benfica B1–0W
15 Feb@ Pacos Ferreira0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Portimonense – last 2

LL
22 Febvs Academico Viseu0–1L
15 Feb@ Sporting CP B3–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Torreense and Portimonense.

Torreense vs Portimonense head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torreense vs Portimonense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Torreense vs Portimonense?

On our numbers Torreense have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Portimonense 23%.

How many goals will there be in Torreense vs Portimonense?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Torreense vs Portimonense?

Our predicted score is Torreense 1–0 Portimonense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Torreense vs Portimonense?

Torreense vs Portimonense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Marques.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.