Value bet: Pacos Ferreira to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeixoes to win ✓41% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Leixoes vs Pacos Ferreira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pacos Ferreira travel to face Leixoes on Sunday 22 March in the Segunda Liga, with Estádio do Mar the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT.
Current form
Leixoes, last 4: LLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Academico Viseu, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Pacos Ferreira, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Oliveirense, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leixoes 1.4 xG, Pacos Ferreira 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leixoes 41%, draw 27%, Pacos Ferreira 32%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Pacos Ferreira to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leixoes 1–1 Pacos Ferreira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leixoes41%fair 2.44 · @2.22
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.00
Pacos Ferreira32%fair 3.08 · @3.30
2.72Expected goals
1.44Leixoes xG
1.28Pacos Ferreira xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Leixoes 1.4 – 1.3 Pacos Ferreira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leixoes
Pacos Ferreira
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
+11%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
+31%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.58
1.44
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leixoes to win✓
41%
2.44
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.80
Draw no bet
Leixoes (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Pacos Ferreira +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Leixoes to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leixoes / FT Leixoes✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
Leixoes – last 4
LLWL
14 Mar
@ Academico Viseu
1–3
L
8 Mar
vs União de Leiria
1–4
L
28 Feb
@ Sporting CP B
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Vizela
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Pacos Ferreira – last 3
DLD
1 Mar
vs Oliveirense
0–0
D
23 Feb
@ FC Porto B
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Torreense
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leixoes and Pacos Ferreira.
What is the prediction for Leixoes vs Pacos Ferreira?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Leixoes vs Pacos Ferreira?
On our numbers Leixoes have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Pacos Ferreira 32%.
How many goals will there be in Leixoes vs Pacos Ferreira?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leixoes vs Pacos Ferreira?
Our predicted score is Leixoes 1–1 Pacos Ferreira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Leixoes vs Pacos Ferreira?
Leixoes vs Pacos Ferreira (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Mar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
