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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lusitânia Lourosa v FC Porto B: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estádio do Lusitânia FC
1–1
FT
Lusitânia Lourosa 45%Draw 26%FC Porto B 29% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.00
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLusitânia Lourosa to win ✗45% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81

Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Porto B travel to face Lusitânia Lourosa on Monday 13 April in the Segunda Liga, with Estádio do Lusitânia FC the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Lusitânia Lourosa are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; FC Porto B are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8.

Current form

Lusitânia Lourosa, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with União de Leiria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

FC Porto B, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Chaves, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lusitânia Lourosa 1.5 xG, FC Porto B 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lusitânia Lourosa 45%, draw 26%, FC Porto B 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lusitânia Lourosa 1–0 FC Porto B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lusitânia Lourosa45%fair 2.22 · @2.26
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.10
FC Porto B29%fair 3.50 · @3.10
2.50Expected goals
1.50Lusitânia Lourosa xG
1.00FC Porto B xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%

From our goals model: Lusitânia Lourosa 1.5 – 1.0 FC Porto B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Lusitânia LourosaFC Porto B
Attack vs Segunda Liga average-0%-24%
Goals conceded vs average-8%+17%
Our expected goals here1.560.85

Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLusitânia Lourosa to win ✗45%2.222.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.80
Draw no betLusitânia Lourosa (draw no bet)61%1.63–
Asian handicapFC Porto B +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.441.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreLusitânia Lourosa to score first55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lusitânia Lourosa / FT Lusitânia Lourosa ✗29%3.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.81–

Recent results

Lusitânia Lourosa – last 6

DLLWLW
5 Apr@ União de Leiria0–0D
21 Marvs Academico Viseu0–3L
15 Mar@ Vizela3–4L
8 Marvs Sporting CP B1–0W
1 Mar@ Farense1–2L
22 Febvs Feirense1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Porto B – last 5

WDLWD
6 Aprvs Chaves3–0W
16 Marvs Oliveirense0–0D
8 Mar@ Maritimo1–2L
23 Febvs Pacos Ferreira1–0W
15 Feb@ União de Leiria2–2D
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lusitânia Lourosa and FC Porto B.

Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?

On our numbers Lusitânia Lourosa have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Porto B 29%.

How many goals will there be in Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?

Our predicted score is Lusitânia Lourosa 1–0 FC Porto B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?

Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Lusitânia FC.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.