Leixoes vs Portimonense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 25 April the Segunda Liga brings Leixoes against Portimonense at Estádio do Mar. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Leixoes are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Portimonense are 10th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leixoes, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC Porto B, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Portimonense, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Lusitânia Lourosa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leixoes 1.4 xG, Portimonense 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leixoes 44%, draw 26%, Portimonense 31%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leixoes 1–1 Portimonense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leixoes44%fair 2.29 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.40
Portimonense31%fair 3.25 · @3.40
2.61Expected goals
1.41Leixoes xG
1.20Portimonense xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–27%
0–07%
From our goals model: Leixoes 1.4 – 1.2 Portimonense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leixoes
Portimonense
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
+11%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
+31%
-11%
Our expected goals here
1.32
1.20
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leixoes to win✓
44%
2.29
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.77
Draw no bet
Leixoes (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Portimonense +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Leixoes to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leixoes / FT Leixoes✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.38
–
Recent results
Leixoes – last 6
WDWLLW
20 Apr
@ FC Porto B
3–0
W
6 Apr
@ Torreense
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Pacos Ferreira
3–2
W
14 Mar
@ Academico Viseu
1–3
L
8 Mar
vs União de Leiria
1–4
L
28 Feb
@ Sporting CP B
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Portimonense – last 5
WWLLL
19 Apr
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
3–2
W
3 Apr
@ Oliveirense
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Torreense
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Academico Viseu
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Sporting CP B
3–4
L
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leixoes and Portimonense.
What is the prediction for Leixoes vs Portimonense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Leixoes vs Portimonense?
On our numbers Leixoes have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Portimonense 31%.
How many goals will there be in Leixoes vs Portimonense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leixoes vs Portimonense?
Our predicted score is Leixoes 1–1 Portimonense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Leixoes vs Portimonense?
Leixoes vs Portimonense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Mar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Academico Viseu