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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ümraniyespor v Boluspor: numbers & prediction

1. Lig · Turkey · Spoi̇nt İnşaat Ümrani̇yespor Stadyumu
Ümraniyespor 47%Draw 24%Boluspor 28% Expected goals 1.72 – 0.94
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Ümraniyespor to win @ 2.70 – our chance 47% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultÜmraniyespor to win ✓47% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Tuesday 17 February: Ümraniyespor v Boluspor in the 1. Lig, played at Spoi̇nt İnşaat Ümrani̇yespor Stadyumu. In the table, Ümraniyespor are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Boluspor are 20th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ümraniyespor 1.7 xG, Boluspor 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ümraniyespor 47%, draw 24%, Boluspor 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Ümraniyespor to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 47%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ümraniyespor 1–1 Boluspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ümraniyespor47%fair 2.11 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Boluspor28%fair 3.52 · @2.45
2.67Expected goals
1.72Ümraniyespor xG
0.94Boluspor xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Ümraniyespor 1.7 – 0.9 Boluspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÜmraniyespor to win ✓47%2.112.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.67
Draw no betÜmraniyespor (draw no bet) ✓62%1.60–
Asian handicapBoluspor +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreÜmraniyespor to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ümraniyespor / FT Ümraniyespor ✓34%2.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Ümraniyespor – last 1

D
13 Feb@ 76 Iğdır Belediyespor1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Boluspor – last 1

W
13 Febvs Hatayspor3–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ümraniyespor and Boluspor.

Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor head-to-head page →

1. Lig table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor141022+1832
2Kayserispor14932+2230
3Iğdır FK14842+828
4Mardin 196914743+625
5Batman Petrolspor14734+324
6Keçiörengücü14653+823
7Bodrum FK14563+521
8Antalyaspor14626-120
9Fatih Karagümrük14545+419
10Esenler Erokspor14464+218
11Muğlaspor14464-718
12Ümraniyespor13454+417
13Sarıyer14455-417
14Vanspor FK14536-616
15Bandırmaspor14356014
16Pendikspor14356-1014
17Manisa F.K.14347-313
18Sivasspor14275-613
19İstanbulspor142210-218
20Boluspor131111-224

More 1. Lig predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor?

On our numbers Ümraniyespor have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Boluspor 28%.

How many goals will there be in Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor?

Our predicted score is Ümraniyespor 1–1 Boluspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor?

Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Spoi̇nt İnşaat Ümrani̇yespor Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.