Erzurum BB 69%Draw 19%Serik Belediyespor 13%Expected goals 2.04 – 0.84
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 54% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultErzurum BB to win ✓69% · @1.14
Double chanceErzurum BB or draw ✓87% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Erzurum BB vs Serik Belediyespor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Erzurum BB welcome Serik Belediyespor to Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu for a 1. Lig fixture on Sunday 22 February (11:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Erzurum BB 2.0 xG, Serik Belediyespor 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Erzurum BB 69%, draw 19%, Serik Belediyespor 13%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erzurum BB 2–0 Serik Belediyespor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Erzurum BB69%fair 1.45 · @1.14
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @6.25
Serik Belediyespor13%fair 7.96 · @15.00
2.88Expected goals
2.04Erzurum BB xG
0.84Serik Belediyespor xG
54%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Erzurum BB 2.0 – 0.8 Serik Belediyespor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erzurum BB to win✓
69%
1.45
1.14
Double chance
Erzurum BB or draw✓
87%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Erzurum BB (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Erzurum BB -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.25
First team to score
Erzurum BB to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Erzurum BB ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erzurum BB / FT Erzurum BB✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Erzurum BB – last 2
WW
18 Feb
@ Keçiörengücü
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Adana Demirspor
7–0
W
4.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Serik Belediyespor – last 2
LW
18 Feb
vs Yeni Çorumspor
2–3
L
14 Feb
@ Bandırmaspor
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erzurum BB and Serik Belediyespor.
What is the prediction for Erzurum BB vs Serik Belediyespor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Erzurum BB vs Serik Belediyespor?
On our numbers Erzurum BB have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Serik Belediyespor 13%.
How many goals will there be in Erzurum BB vs Serik Belediyespor?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzurum BB vs Serik Belediyespor?
Our predicted score is Erzurum BB 2–0 Serik Belediyespor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Erzurum BB vs Serik Belediyespor?
Erzurum BB vs Serik Belediyespor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bandırmaspor4
Hatayspor0
Yeni Çorumspor2
Ümraniyespor0
BB Bodrumspor1
Manisa BBSK2