Value bet: Sakaryaspor to win @ 2.95 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSakaryaspor to win ✗38% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Sakaryaspor vs Sarıyer: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the 1. Lig brings Sakaryaspor against Sarıyer at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Sakaryaspor, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Sivasspor, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sarıyer, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Adana Demirspor, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Sarıyer, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Sakaryaspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sakaryaspor 1.5 xG, Sarıyer 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sakaryaspor 38%, draw 25%, Sarıyer 37%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Sakaryaspor to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sakaryaspor 1–1 Sarıyer. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sakaryaspor38%fair 2.62 · @2.95
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.30
Sarıyer37%fair 2.70 · @2.15
2.77Expected goals
1.50Sakaryaspor xG
1.27Sarıyer xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sakaryaspor 1.5 – 1.3 Sarıyer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sakaryaspor to win✗
38%
2.62
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.60
Draw no bet
Sakaryaspor (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Sarıyer +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Sakaryaspor to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sakaryaspor / FT Sakaryaspor✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Sakaryaspor – last 3
LLD
23 Feb
@ Sivasspor
1–4
L
19 Feb
vs Pendikspor
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Amed
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sarıyer – last 3
WDL
23 Feb
vs Adana Demirspor
5–0
W
19 Feb
vs Amed
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Pendikspor
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sakaryaspor and Sarıyer.
What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor vs Sarıyer?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sakaryaspor vs Sarıyer?
On our numbers Sakaryaspor have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sarıyer 37%.
How many goals will there be in Sakaryaspor vs Sarıyer?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sakaryaspor vs Sarıyer?
Our predicted score is Sakaryaspor 1–1 Sarıyer, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sakaryaspor vs Sarıyer?
Sakaryaspor vs Sarıyer (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Adana Demirspor0
Serik Spor0