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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hatayspor v Amed: numbers & prediction

1. Lig · Turkey · Mersin Stadyumu

Hatayspor

LLLLL
0–3
FT

Amed

WWWDD
Hatayspor 8%Draw 13%Amed 79% Expected goals 0.78 – 2.85
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAmed to win ✓79% · @1.08
Double chanceAmed or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.10
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88

Hatayspor vs Amed: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hatayspor welcome Amed to Mersin Stadyumu for a 1. Lig fixture on Sunday 22 March (11:30 WAT).

Current form

Hatayspor, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Erzurumspor FK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Amed, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Manisa F.K., at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Amed, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.0 for Hatayspor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hatayspor 0.8 xG, Amed 2.8 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hatayspor 8%, draw 13%, Amed 79%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hatayspor 0–3 Amed. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hatayspor8%fair 12.49 · @21.00
Draw13%fair 7.70 · @8.00
Amed79%fair 1.27 · @1.08
3.63Expected goals
0.78Hatayspor xG
2.85Amed xG
56%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–310%
1–28%
1–38%
0–18%
0–47%

From our goals model: Hatayspor 0.8 – 2.8 Amed expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAmed to win ✓79%1.271.08
Double chanceAmed or draw ✓92%1.09–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.782.10 ▲
Draw no betAmed (draw no bet) ✓91%1.10–
Asian handicapAmed -1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.381.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗53%1.891.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓66%1.511.50
First team to scoreAmed to score first ✓76%1.31–
Half-time resultAmed ahead at half-time ✓60%1.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Amed / FT Amed ✓56%1.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.88–

Recent results

Hatayspor – last 6

LLLLLL
15 Mar@ Erzurumspor FK0–3L
11 Marvs Sivasspor1–2L
28 Febvs Bodrum FK1–3L
22 Feb@ Bandırmaspor0–4L
17 Febvs 76 Iğdır Belediyespor0–2L
13 Feb@ Boluspor1–3L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Amed – last 5

WWWDD
15 Marvs Manisa F.K.2–0W
11 Mar@ İstanbulspor4–0W
23 Febvs Van Spor Kulübü1–0W
19 Feb@ Sarıyer1–1D
15 Febvs Sakaryaspor1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hatayspor and Amed.

Hatayspor vs Amed head-to-head page →

More 1. Lig predictions

League hub
FT Van Spor Kulübü0 Sarıyer0 139%2.35X27%3.20235%2.75 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Iğdır FK0 Çorum FK2 137%2.55X26%3.25237%2.50 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT İstanbulspor0 Bodrum FK1 128%2.90X23%3.65248%2.05 1.2–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.53 ✓
FT Esenler Erokspor0 Erzurumspor FK2 144%2.05X25%3.30231%3.20 1.6–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hatayspor vs Amed?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Hatayspor vs Amed?

On our numbers Hatayspor have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Amed 79%.

How many goals will there be in Hatayspor vs Amed?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hatayspor vs Amed?

Our predicted score is Hatayspor 0–3 Amed, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Hatayspor vs Amed?

Hatayspor vs Amed (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Mersin Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.