Ümraniyespor v Pendikspor Prediction & Expected Goals (21 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultÜmraniyespor to win40% · @2.95

Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.96

Ümraniyespor vs Pendikspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ümraniyespor welcome Pendikspor to Spoi̇nt İnşaat Ümrani̇yespor Stadyumu for a 1. Lig fixture on Saturday 21 March (17:00 WAT). In the table, Ümraniyespor are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Pendikspor are 16th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ümraniyespor, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sivasspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Pendikspor, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Serik Spor, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Pendikspor, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Ümraniyespor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ümraniyespor 1.5 xG, Pendikspor 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ümraniyespor 40%, draw 25%, Pendikspor 35%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Ümraniyespor to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ümraniyespor 1–1 Pendikspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ümraniyespor40%fair 2.50 · @2.95

Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.30

Pendikspor35%fair 2.83 · @2.15

2.62Expected goals

1.49Ümraniyespor xG

1.13Pendikspor xG

61%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–011%

2–19%

0–18%

2–08%

0–07%

From our goals model: Ümraniyespor 1.5 – 1.1 Pendikspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ümraniyespor to win	40%	2.50	2.95 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win	75%	1.33	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	61%	1.65	1.67
Draw no bet	Ümraniyespor (draw no bet)	53%	1.88	–
Asian handicap	Pendikspor +1 (Asian handicap)	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	73%	1.36	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	51%	1.97	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	72%	1.39	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	87%	1.14	–
First team to score	Ümraniyespor to score first	53%	1.90	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	43%	2.34	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ümraniyespor / FT Ümraniyespor	27%	3.72	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	9%	10.96	–

Ümraniyespor – last 6

LWWLLW

15 Mar	@ Sivasspor	0–1	L
11 Mar	vs Erzurumspor FK	3–1	W
6 Mar	@ Sarıyer	2–1	W
1 Mar	vs Bandırmaspor	1–2	L
22 Feb	@ Yeni Çorumspor	0–2	L
17 Feb	vs Boluspor	4–2	W

1.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Pendikspor – last 6

WDWLWW

10 Mar	@ Serik Spor	4–3	W
6 Mar	vs Van Spor Kulübü	1–1	D
1 Mar	@ Adana Demirspor	5–0	W
23 Feb	vs Keçiörengücü	0–1	L
19 Feb	@ Sakaryaspor	2–0	W
15 Feb	vs Sarıyer	2–0	W

2.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	14	10	2	2	+18	32
2	Kayserispor	14	9	3	2	+22	30
3	Iğdır FK	14	8	4	2	+8	28
4	Mardin 1969	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Batman Petrolspor	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Keçiörengücü	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Bodrum FK	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Fatih Karagümrük	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Esenler Erokspor	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Muğlaspor	14	4	6	4	-7	18
12	Ümraniyespor	13	4	5	4	+4	17
13	Sarıyer	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Vanspor FK	14	5	3	6	-6	16
15	Bandırmaspor	14	3	5	6	0	14
16	Pendikspor	14	3	5	6	-10	14
17	Manisa F.K.	14	3	4	7	-3	13
18	Sivasspor	14	2	7	5	-6	13
19	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-21	8
20	Boluspor	13	1	1	11	-22	4

Team

Pts

+18

+22

-1

-7

-4

-6

-10

-3

-6

-21

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ümraniyespor vs Pendikspor?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Ümraniyespor vs Pendikspor?

On our numbers Ümraniyespor have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pendikspor 35%.

How many goals will there be in Ümraniyespor vs Pendikspor?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ümraniyespor vs Pendikspor?

Our predicted score is Ümraniyespor 1–1 Pendikspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Ümraniyespor vs Pendikspor?

Ümraniyespor vs Pendikspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Spoi̇nt İnşaat Ümrani̇yespor Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ümraniyespor v Pendikspor: numbers & prediction