Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sakaryaspor to win @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSakaryaspor to win51% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.25
Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Sakaryaspor v İstanbulspor in the 1. Lig, played at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu.
Current form
Sakaryaspor, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Serik Spor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
İstanbulspor, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bodrum FK, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sakaryaspor, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for İstanbulspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sakaryaspor 2.0 xG, İstanbulspor 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sakaryaspor 51%, draw 22%, İstanbulspor 27%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Sakaryaspor to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sakaryaspor 1–1 İstanbulspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sakaryaspor51%fair 1.95 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.55
İstanbulspor27%fair 3.71 · @2.80
3.17Expected goals
1.96Sakaryaspor xG
1.21İstanbulspor xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Sakaryaspor 2.0 – 1.2 İstanbulspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sakaryaspor to win
51%
1.95
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
64%
1.56
1.53
Draw no bet
Sakaryaspor (draw no bet)
66%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
İstanbulspor +1.5 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Sakaryaspor to score first
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Sakaryaspor ahead at half-time
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sakaryaspor / FT Sakaryaspor
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Sakaryaspor – last 6
LWDWDL
21 Mar
@ Serik Spor
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Van Spor Kulübü
2–1
W
11 Mar
@ Keçiörengücü
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Adana Demirspor
4–0
W
1 Mar
vs Sarıyer
0–0
D
23 Feb
@ Sivasspor
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
İstanbulspor – last 6
LLDLWL
22 Mar
vs Bodrum FK
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Amed
0–4
L
3 Mar
vs Boluspor
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Iğdır FK
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Boluspor
1–0
W
17 Feb
vs Erokspor
1–4
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sakaryaspor and İstanbulspor.
What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor?
On our numbers Sakaryaspor have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and İstanbulspor 27%.
How many goals will there be in Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor?
Our predicted score is Sakaryaspor 1–1 İstanbulspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor?
Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.