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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sakaryaspor v İstanbulspor: numbers & prediction

1. Lig · Turkey · Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu
Sat 4 Apr 2026
Sakaryaspor 51%Draw 22%İstanbulspor 27% Expected goals 1.96 – 1.21
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Sakaryaspor to win @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultSakaryaspor to win51% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.25

Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Sakaryaspor v İstanbulspor in the 1. Lig, played at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu.

Current form

Sakaryaspor, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Serik Spor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

İstanbulspor, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bodrum FK, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Sakaryaspor, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for İstanbulspor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sakaryaspor 2.0 xG, İstanbulspor 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sakaryaspor 51%, draw 22%, İstanbulspor 27%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Sakaryaspor to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sakaryaspor 1–1 İstanbulspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sakaryaspor51%fair 1.95 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.55
İstanbulspor27%fair 3.71 · @2.80
3.17Expected goals
1.96Sakaryaspor xG
1.21İstanbulspor xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Sakaryaspor 2.0 – 1.2 İstanbulspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSakaryaspor to win51%1.952.15 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score64%1.561.53
Draw no betSakaryaspor (draw no bet)66%1.53–
Asian handicapİstanbulspor +1.5 (Asian handicap)68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.251.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals59%1.701.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals63%1.601.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals79%1.27–
First team to scoreSakaryaspor to score first59%1.69–
Half-time resultSakaryaspor ahead at half-time41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sakaryaspor / FT Sakaryaspor34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.25–

Recent results

Sakaryaspor – last 6

LWDWDL
21 Mar@ Serik Spor0–2L
15 Marvs Van Spor Kulübü2–1W
11 Mar@ Keçiörengücü1–1D
6 Marvs Adana Demirspor4–0W
1 Marvs Sarıyer0–0D
23 Feb@ Sivasspor1–4L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

İstanbulspor – last 6

LLDLWL
22 Marvs Bodrum FK0–1L
11 Marvs Amed0–4L
3 Marvs Boluspor0–0D
27 Febvs Iğdır FK1–2L
21 Feb@ Boluspor1–0W
17 Febvs Erokspor1–4L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sakaryaspor and İstanbulspor.

Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor head-to-head page →

1. Lig table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor141022+1832
2Kayserispor14932+2230
3Iğdır FK14842+828
4Mardin 196914743+625
5Batman Petrolspor14734+324
6Keçiörengücü14653+823
7Bodrum FK14563+521
8Antalyaspor14626-120
9Fatih Karagümrük14545+419
10Esenler Erokspor14464+218
11Muğlaspor14464-718
12Ümraniyespor13454+417
13Sarıyer14455-417
14Vanspor FK14536-616
15Bandırmaspor14356014
16Pendikspor14356-1014
17Manisa F.K.14347-313
18Sivasspor14275-613
19İstanbulspor142210-218
20Boluspor131111-224

More 1. Lig predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor?

On our numbers Sakaryaspor have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and İstanbulspor 27%.

How many goals will there be in Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor?

Our predicted score is Sakaryaspor 1–1 İstanbulspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor?

Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.