Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the 1. Lig brings Ümraniyespor against Vanspor FK at Spoi?nt I?nsaat Ümrani?yespor Stadyumu. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Ümraniyespor are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Vanspor FK are 14th (lower half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ümraniyespor, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Amed, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Vanspor FK, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Manisa F.K., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ümraniyespor, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Vanspor FK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ümraniyespor 1.6 xG, Vanspor FK 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ümraniyespor 47%, draw 25%, Vanspor FK 28%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ümraniyespor 1–1 Vanspor FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ümraniyespor47%fair 2.13 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.40
Vanspor FK28%fair 3.51 · @2.80
2.59Expected goals
1.57Ümraniyespor xG
1.02Vanspor FK xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ümraniyespor 1.6 – 1.0 Vanspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ümraniyespor to win✗
47%
2.13
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.60
Draw no bet
Ümraniyespor (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Vanspor FK +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Ümraniyespor to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ümraniyespor / FT Ümraniyespor✗
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Ümraniyespor – last 6
DWLLWW
13 Apr
@ Amed
2–2
D
8 Apr
vs Sakaryaspor
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Bodrum FK
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Sivasspor
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Erzurumspor FK
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ Sarıyer
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vanspor FK – last 6
LWLDLW
12 Apr
vs Manisa F.K.
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Serik Spor
6–1
W
4 Apr
@ Keçiörengücü
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Sarıyer
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Sakaryaspor
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Adana Demirspor
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ümraniyespor and Vanspor FK.
What is the prediction for Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK?
On our numbers Ümraniyespor have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vanspor FK 28%.
How many goals will there be in Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK?
Our predicted score is Ümraniyespor 1–1 Vanspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK?
Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Spoi?nt I?nsaat Ümrani?yespor Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.