Hoek v Katwijk Prediction & Expected Goals (4 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHoek to win ✓43% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05

Hoek vs Katwijk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Katwijk travel to face Hoek on Saturday 4 April in the Tweede Divisie, with Sportpark Denoek the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Hoek are 16th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 12 matches; Katwijk are 12th (lower half) with 14.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hoek 1.5 xG, Katwijk 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hoek 43%, draw 24%, Katwijk 33%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hoek 1–1 Katwijk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hoek43%fair 2.34 · @2.05

Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.40

Katwijk33%fair 3.04 · @2.88

2.83Expected goals

1.55Hoek xG

1.29Katwijk xG

63%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–09%

2–19%

0–18%

1–28%

2–07%

From our goals model: Hoek 1.5 – 1.3 Katwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hoek to win ✓	43%	2.34	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	63%	1.58	1.50
Draw no bet	Hoek (draw no bet) ✓	56%	1.77	–
Asian handicap	Katwijk +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	72%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.86	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	68%	1.46	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	–
First team to score	Hoek to score first ✓	51%	1.95	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.44	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hoek / FT Hoek ✓	26%	3.87	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.05	–

Tweede Divisie table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Quick Boys	12	10	1	1	+25	31
2	Ijsselmeervogels	12	8	1	3	+9	25
3	Kozakken Boys	12	7	3	2	+16	24
4	HHC	12	7	3	2	+7	24
5	De Treffers	12	6	4	2	+14	22
6	GVVV Veenendaal	12	7	0	5	+6	21
7	RKAV Volendam	12	6	3	3	+3	21
8	Barendrecht	12	6	2	4	+2	20
9	Spakenburg	12	5	2	5	-1	17
10	Sparta Rotterdam II	12	3	5	4	+4	14
11	AFC Amsterdam	12	4	2	6	-4	14
12	Katwijk	12	4	2	6	-9	14
13	Almere City II	12	4	1	7	-3	13
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	12	4	1	7	-12	13
15	Koninklijke HFC	12	3	3	6	-5	12
16	Hoek	12	2	4	6	-9	10
17	Kloetinge	12	1	4	7	-16	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	12	0	1	11	-27	1

More Tweede Divisie predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hoek vs Katwijk?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Hoek vs Katwijk?

On our numbers Hoek have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Katwijk 33%.

How many goals will there be in Hoek vs Katwijk?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hoek vs Katwijk?

Our predicted score is Hoek 1–1 Katwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Hoek vs Katwijk?

Hoek vs Katwijk (Tweede Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Denoek.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hoek v Katwijk: numbers & prediction

Hoek

Katwijk

Both teams to score