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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rochdale v Scunthorpe: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Crown Oil Arena
Rochdale 58%Draw 24%Scunthorpe 19% Expected goals 1.97 – 1.07
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultRochdale to win ✗58% · @1.64
Double chanceRochdale or draw ✓81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Rochdale vs Scunthorpe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Tuesday 17 February: Rochdale v Scunthorpe in the National League, played at Crown Oil Arena.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rochdale 2.0 xG, Scunthorpe 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rochdale 58%, draw 24%, Scunthorpe 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rochdale 1–1 Scunthorpe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rochdale58%fair 1.74 · @1.64
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.60
Scunthorpe19%fair 5.27 · @4.75
3.04Expected goals
1.97Rochdale xG
1.07Scunthorpe xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Rochdale 2.0 – 1.1 Scunthorpe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

RochdaleScunthorpe
Attack vs National League average+5%-17%
Goals conceded vs average+1%+16%
Our expected goals here2.131.19

Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRochdale to win ✗58%1.741.64
Double chanceRochdale or draw ✓81%1.231.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.67
Draw no betRochdale (draw no bet)75%1.33–
Asian handicapScunthorpe +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.791.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreRochdale to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultRochdale ahead at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rochdale / FT Rochdale ✗37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Rochdale

No recent results on record.

Scunthorpe

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and Scunthorpe.

Rochdale vs Scunthorpe head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rochdale vs Scunthorpe?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Rochdale vs Scunthorpe?

On our numbers Rochdale have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Scunthorpe 19%.

How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Scunthorpe?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rochdale vs Scunthorpe?

Our predicted score is Rochdale 1–1 Scunthorpe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Rochdale vs Scunthorpe?

Rochdale vs Scunthorpe (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Crown Oil Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.