Southend vs Gateshead: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 10 March: Southend v Gateshead in the National League, played at Roots Hall. In the table, Southend are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Gateshead are 24th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Southend, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Truro City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Gateshead, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Braintree, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Gateshead, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Southend.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Southend 2.7 xG, Gateshead 0.9 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Southend 73%, draw 17%, Gateshead 10%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Southend to win (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Southend 2–0 Gateshead. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Southend73%fair 1.37 · @1.33
Draw17%fair 5.88 · @5.00
Gateshead10%fair 10.05 · @6.75
3.52Expected goals
2.65Southend xG
0.87Gateshead xG
62%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
3–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: Southend 2.7 – 0.9 Gateshead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Southend
Gateshead
Attack vs National League average
+37%
-41%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+24%
Our expected goals here
2.97
0.90
Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Double chance
Southend or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Draw no bet
Southend (draw no bet)
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Southend -1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.35
First team to score
Southend to score first
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Southend ahead at half-time✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southend / FT Southend✗
52%
1.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Southend – last 3
DLW
3 Mar
vs Truro City
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Boreham Wood
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Brackley Town
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gateshead – last 3
WDW
4 Mar
vs Braintree
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Morecambe
4–4
D
17 Feb
@ FC Halifax Town
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southend and Gateshead.
Our pick is Southend to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Southend vs Gateshead?
On our numbers Southend have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Gateshead 10%.
How many goals will there be in Southend vs Gateshead?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southend vs Gateshead?
Our predicted score is Southend 2–0 Gateshead, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Southend vs Gateshead?
Southend vs Gateshead (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Roots Hall.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Brackley Town1