Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv to win49% · @1.42
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.89
Lokomotiv vs Nizhny Novgorod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Lokomotiv v Nizhny Novgorod in the Premier League, played at RZD Arena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv 1.4 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv 49%, draw 21%, Nizhny Novgorod 31%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv49%fair 2.06 · @1.42
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @5.05
Nizhny Novgorod31%fair 3.23 · @7.60
3.01Expected goals
1.40Lokomotiv xG
1.61Nizhny Novgorod xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.4 – 1.6 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv to win
49%
2.06
1.42
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv (draw no bet)
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.43
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.12
First team to score
Nizhny Novgorod to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.89
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv – last 1
W
14 Feb
vs Dinamo Samarqand
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nizhny Novgorod 31%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–1 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Lokomotiv vs Nizhny Novgorod (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
