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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zenit v Baltika: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Gazprom Arena
1–0
FT
Zenit 62%Draw 25%Baltika 13% Expected goals 1.61 – 0.66
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.46 – our chance 50% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultZenit to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.46
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.30

Zenit vs Baltika: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Baltika travel to face Zenit on Friday 27 February in the Premier League, with Gazprom Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Zenit are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 14 matches; Baltika are 9th (lower half) with 17. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Baltika, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Krylia Sovetov, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zenit 1.6 xG, Baltika 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zenit 62%, draw 25%, Baltika 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.46.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.46 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zenit 2–0 Baltika. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zenit62%fair 1.62 · @1.57
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.92
Baltika13%fair 7.60 · @7.10
2.27Expected goals
1.61Zenit xG
0.66Baltika xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%

From our goals model: Zenit 1.6 – 0.7 Baltika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZenit to win ✓62%1.621.57
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓87%1.151.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.982.46 ▲
Draw no betZenit (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapZenit -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.521.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.101.02
First team to scoreZenit to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zenit / FT Zenit ✗37%2.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.30–

Recent results

Zenit – last 1

W
17 Feb@ FC Krasnodar1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Baltika – last 3

WDW
22 Feb@ Krylia Sovetov1–0W
18 Febvs Akhmat2–2D
18 Febvs Kaisar2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Zenit and Baltika.

Zenit vs Baltika head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zenit vs Baltika?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Zenit vs Baltika?

On our numbers Zenit have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Baltika 13%.

How many goals will there be in Zenit vs Baltika?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zenit vs Baltika?

Our predicted score is Zenit 2–0 Baltika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Zenit vs Baltika?

Zenit vs Baltika (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Gazprom Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.