Lokomotiv vs Akhmat: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 9 March the Premier League brings Lokomotiv against Akhmat at RZD Arena. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Lokomotiv are 15th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Akhmat are 12th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv 1.6 xG, Akhmat 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv 52%, draw 26%, Akhmat 23%.
Lower-risk option: Lokomotiv or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.71.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lokomotiv or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv 1–1 Akhmat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv52%fair 1.94 · @1.82
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.88
Akhmat23%fair 4.40 · @4.40
2.63Expected goals
1.56Lokomotiv xG
1.07Akhmat xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.6 – 1.1 Akhmat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv to win✗
52%
1.94
1.82
Double chance
Lokomotiv or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.71
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv (draw no bet)
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Akhmat +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.10
First team to score
Lokomotiv to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv / FT Lokomotiv✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv – last 2
WW
5 Mar
@ Arsenal Tula
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Dinamo Samarqand
4–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Akhmat – last 2
WD
1 Mar
vs CSKA Moscow
1–0
W
18 Feb
@ Baltika
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv and Akhmat.
Our pick is Lokomotiv or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Akhmat?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Akhmat 23%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Akhmat?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Akhmat?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–1 Akhmat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs Akhmat?
Lokomotiv vs Akhmat (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
