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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Krylia Sovetov v Rubin: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Samara Arena
0–0
FT
Krylia Sovetov 37%Draw 28%Rubin 35% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.11
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.46 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.46Odds
1

Value bet: Krylia Sovetov to win @ 3.14 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKrylia Sovetov to win ✗37% · @3.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.42
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.03
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.04

Krylia Sovetov vs Rubin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rubin travel to face Krylia Sovetov on Sunday 22 March in the Premier League, with Samara Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Krylia Sovetov are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Rubin are 8th (upper half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Krylia Sovetov, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Nizhny Novgorod, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Rubin, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Lokomotiv, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Rubin, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Krylia Sovetov.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Krylia Sovetov 1.3 xG, Rubin 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Krylia Sovetov 37%, draw 28%, Rubin 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.03.
  • Price worth noting: Krylia Sovetov to win @3.14 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: Krylia Sovetov 1–1 Rubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Krylia Sovetov37%fair 2.73 · @3.14
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.04
Rubin35%fair 2.85 · @2.59
2.38Expected goals
1.27Krylia Sovetov xG
1.11Rubin xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 1.3 – 1.1 Rubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKrylia Sovetov to win ✗37%2.733.14 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.391.42
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.812.03 ▲
Draw no betKrylia Sovetov (draw no bet)51%1.96–
Asian handicapRubin +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.511.46
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.54
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.15
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.01
First team to scoreKrylia Sovetov to score first ✗49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Krylia Sovetov / FT Krylia Sovetov ✗23%4.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.04–

Recent results

Krylia Sovetov – last 6

LWWLLW
15 Mar@ Nizhny Novgorod0–3L
8 Marvs Dinamo Makhachkala2–0W
4 Marvs FC Orenburg2–0W
1 Mar@ Dynamo0–4L
22 Febvs Baltika0–1L
17 Feb@ Chelyabinsk3–2W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rubin – last 3

WWL
15 Marvs Lokomotiv3–0W
8 Marvs FC Krasnodar2–1W
20 Feb@ FC Orenburg0–1L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Krylia Sovetov and Rubin.

Krylia Sovetov vs Rubin head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Rubin?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.

Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs Rubin?

On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Rubin 35%.

How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs Rubin?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs Rubin?

Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 1–1 Rubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Krylia Sovetov vs Rubin?

Krylia Sovetov vs Rubin (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.