Akhmat vs FC Krasnodar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Akhmat welcome FC Krasnodar to Akhmat-Arena for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 4 April (17:45 WAT). In the table, Akhmat are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; FC Krasnodar are 4th (among the top four) with 26. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Akhmat, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Rostov, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
FC Krasnodar, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over CSKA Moscow, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Akhmat 1.1 xG, FC Krasnodar 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Akhmat 22%, draw 25%, FC Krasnodar 52%.
Lower-risk option: FC Krasnodar or draw (78%) at 1.23.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.84.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Krasnodar or draw (78%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Akhmat 1–1 FC Krasnodar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Akhmat22%fair 4.48 · @4.60
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.74
FC Krasnodar52%fair 1.91 · @1.82
2.65Expected goals
1.09Akhmat xG
1.56FC Krasnodar xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Akhmat 1.1 – 1.6 FC Krasnodar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Krasnodar to win
52%
1.91
1.82
Double chance
FC Krasnodar or draw
78%
1.29
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
1.84
Draw no bet
FC Krasnodar (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Akhmat +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.38
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
1.05
First team to score
FC Krasnodar to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Akhmat – last 5
WDDWD
21 Mar
vs FC Rostov
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Akron
1–1
D
9 Mar
@ Lokomotiv
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs CSKA Moscow
1–0
W
18 Feb
@ Baltika
2–2
D
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
FC Krasnodar – last 6
WWLLWL
17 Mar
vs CSKA Moscow
4–0
W
14 Mar
@ FC Sochi
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Rubin
1–2
L
4 Mar
@ CSKA Moscow
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs FC Rostov
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Zenit
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Akhmat and FC Krasnodar.
What is the prediction for Akhmat vs FC Krasnodar?
Our pick is FC Krasnodar or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Akhmat vs FC Krasnodar?
On our numbers Akhmat have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Krasnodar 52%.
How many goals will there be in Akhmat vs FC Krasnodar?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs FC Krasnodar?
Our predicted score is Akhmat 1–1 FC Krasnodar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Akhmat vs FC Krasnodar?
Akhmat vs FC Krasnodar (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
