Baltika 52%Draw 28%Rubin 19%Expected goals 1.32 – 0.73
81%
Betarazi pick
Baltika or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.19 – our chance 50% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultBaltika to win52% · @1.92
Double chanceBaltika or draw81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.19
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.25
Baltika vs Rubin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 2 May the Premier League brings Baltika against Rubin at Rostec Arena. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Baltika are 9th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Rubin are 8th (upper half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Baltika, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Akron, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Rubin, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dynamo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rubin, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Baltika.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baltika 1.3 xG, Rubin 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika 52%, draw 28%, Rubin 19%.
Lower-risk option: Baltika or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.19.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.19 – the bookmaker implies 46%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Baltika or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika 1–0 Rubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baltika52%fair 1.90 · @1.92
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.50
Rubin19%fair 5.13 · @4.40
2.04Expected goals
1.32Baltika xG
0.73Rubin xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–013%
1–112%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Baltika 1.3 – 0.7 Rubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baltika to win
52%
1.90
1.92
Double chance
Baltika or draw
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
2.00
2.19 ▲
Draw no bet
Baltika (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Rubin +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.47
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.13
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Baltika to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baltika / FT Baltika
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.25
–
Recent results
Baltika – last 6
LDDLLW
27 Apr
vs Akron
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ Akhmat
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
2–2
D
3 Mar
vs Zenit
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Zenit
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rubin – last 6
WWDWWL
22 Apr
@ Dynamo
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ FC Sochi
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Krylia Sovetov
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Lokomotiv
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs FC Krasnodar
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ FC Orenburg
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baltika and Rubin.
Our pick is Baltika or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Baltika vs Rubin?
On our numbers Baltika have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Rubin 19%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Rubin?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Rubin?
Our predicted score is Baltika 1–0 Rubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs Rubin?
Baltika vs Rubin (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
