Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Vorskla Poltava to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultInhulets to win ✗38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.85
Vorskla Poltava vs Inhulets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Vorskla Poltava v Inhulets in the Persha Liga, played at Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butovskoho.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vorskla Poltava 1.2 xG, Inhulets 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vorskla Poltava 35%, draw 27%, Inhulets 38%.
Price worth noting: Vorskla Poltava to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vorskla Poltava 1–1 Inhulets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vorskla Poltava35%fair 2.85 · @3.10
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.10
Inhulets38%fair 2.65 · @2.15
2.25Expected goals
1.18Vorskla Poltava xG
1.08Inhulets xG
45%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Vorskla Poltava 1.2 – 1.1 Inhulets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Vorskla Poltava
Inhulets
Attack vs Persha Liga average
-15%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.31
0.97
Our own ratings from every Persha Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inhulets to win✗
38%
2.65
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Inhulets (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Inhulets +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Vorskla Poltava to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vorskla Poltava / FT Vorskla Poltava✓
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.85
–
Recent results
Vorskla Poltava
No recent results on record.
Inhulets – last 1
L
3 Mar
@ Dynamo Kyiv
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vorskla Poltava and Inhulets.
What is the prediction for Vorskla Poltava vs Inhulets?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Vorskla Poltava vs Inhulets?
On our numbers Vorskla Poltava have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Inhulets 38%.
How many goals will there be in Vorskla Poltava vs Inhulets?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vorskla Poltava vs Inhulets?
Our predicted score is Vorskla Poltava 1–1 Inhulets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Vorskla Poltava vs Inhulets?
Vorskla Poltava vs Inhulets (Persha Liga) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butovskoho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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