Value bet: Vorskla Poltava to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVorskla Poltava to win ✗46% · @2.40
Double chanceVorskla Poltava or draw ✗73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Vorskla Poltava vs Probiy Horodenka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:15 WAT, Wednesday 8 April: Vorskla Poltava v Probiy Horodenka in the Persha Liga, played at Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butovskoho.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vorskla Poltava 1.5 xG, Probiy Horodenka 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vorskla Poltava 46%, draw 27%, Probiy Horodenka 27%.
Lower-risk option: Vorskla Poltava or draw (73%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Vorskla Poltava to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vorskla Poltava or draw (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vorskla Poltava 1–0 Probiy Horodenka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vorskla Poltava46%fair 2.17 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.70
Probiy Horodenka27%fair 3.72 · @2.90
2.54Expected goals
1.54Vorskla Poltava xG
1.00Probiy Horodenka xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Vorskla Poltava 1.5 – 1.0 Probiy Horodenka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Vorskla Poltava
Probiy Horodenka
Attack vs Persha Liga average
-15%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+44%
Our expected goals here
1.85
1.02
Our own ratings from every Persha Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vorskla Poltava to win✗
46%
2.17
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Vorskla Poltava or draw✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Vorskla Poltava (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Probiy Horodenka +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Vorskla Poltava to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vorskla Poltava / FT Vorskla Poltava✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Vorskla Poltava – last 2
LW
4 Apr
@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Inhulets
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Probiy Horodenka – last 2
WD
3 Apr
vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi
3–0
W
29 Mar
@ Nyva Ternopil
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vorskla Poltava and Probiy Horodenka.
What is the prediction for Vorskla Poltava vs Probiy Horodenka?
Our pick is Vorskla Poltava or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Vorskla Poltava vs Probiy Horodenka?
On our numbers Vorskla Poltava have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Probiy Horodenka 27%.
How many goals will there be in Vorskla Poltava vs Probiy Horodenka?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vorskla Poltava vs Probiy Horodenka?
Our predicted score is Vorskla Poltava 1–0 Probiy Horodenka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vorskla Poltava vs Probiy Horodenka?
Vorskla Poltava vs Probiy Horodenka (Persha Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butovskoho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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